This week, Bitcoin climbed back above $97,000 for the first time since November 2025, after clearing the $94,000 technical barrier. On January 16, analyst Darkfost highlighted that the short-term holder realized price, now around $102,000, is a key on-chain level that could drive whether recent buyers hold or sell as they approach break-even. Glassnode's Chris Beamish added that reclaiming this cost basis is important for renewed bullish momentum, with Bitcoin currently trading near $95,300.

Bitcoin has remained below its 50‑week Simple Moving Average for nine consecutive weeks, raising caution as extended periods under this level have historically preceded 50%–70% pullbacks. BTC was around $90,352 with no daily change, and a sustained reclaim of the 50‑week average would improve the outlook. If history rhymes, a move toward $50,000 is possible.

US spot XRP ETFs set a new weekly trading record at $219 million, according to the latest market data. Despite a net outflow of $40.8 million on Wednesday, January 7, the funds added $38.07 million for the week ending January 9 and have amassed $1.47 billion in total net assets since mid-November 2025.

Bitcoin is trading around $90,624 after a pullback from its strong start to the year, with analysts highlighting a potential resistance zone just below $100,000. On-chain data indicates that new whale buyers have an average cost basis close to $99,000, while long-term whales and miners hold at significantly lower levels near $39,681 and $58,681. This positioning suggests structurally bullish conditions, but also points to $99,000 as a critical level where profit-taking or breakeven selling could intensify.

On January 9, analyst BitBull outlined on X a bullish Bitcoin outlook, arguing that a weekly Relative Strength Index breakout could lift BTC toward $103,000–$105,000 over the next three to four weeks. The projection implies around a 15% advance from the current price area near $90,600, where Bitcoin has mostly traded around $90,000 with brief moves above $91,000. The analyst's view references a similar RSI breakout in April 2025, which occurred before Bitcoin climbed to its all-time high of $126,080.

After closing 2025 on a weak note, Dogecoin has gained nearly 24% since the start of the new year and is trading around 0.1415 with a more than 2% daily increase. On January 3, Alphractal CEO Joao Wedson said DOGE has moved into a major CVDD-based accumulation zone, where historical data show strong structural support. Recent on-chain and price action suggest this region could mark the early phase of a longer-term uptrend for the meme coin through 2026.

Bitcoin's Sharpe Ratio recently moved into negative territory even as price strength returns, according to Alphractal CEO Joao Wedson. He noted that robust performance historically aligns with readings above 1, while sub-0 phases often coincide with consolidation. As of this writing, BTC is near $89,886, up 1.4% day-over-day, with commentary pointing to a cautious stance for 2026.

On Friday, January 2nd, Bitcoin's price climbed above the $90,000 psychological mark, extending a post–New Year rally in the broader crypto market. However, on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci argues that BTC must close above the Short-Term Holder Realized Price near $99,000, and ultimately break into the $99,000–$102,000 band, before a sustained bull trend can be confirmed. As of the latest reading, Bitcoin trades around $90,110, up about 2% in 24 hours.

XRP has traded with a bearish tone in December, slipping towards the $1.80 area as multiple support zones failed under selling pressure. Market analyst CryptoOnchain notes that XRP's weekly chart now shows a bearish divergence between price and the Relative Strength Index, hinting at weakening momentum. At the same time, Binance open interest in XRP derivatives has dropped to about $450 million, its lowest level since November 2024, while the token changes hands around $1.87 after a 1.5% daily gain.