Technical Analysis

Over the weekend, Bitcoin briefly fell about 7% to $77,000 before rebounding to near $78,600, a move analyst PlanC contends could represent the deepest correction of the current bull market. He argues the price action resembles previous capitulation phases and estimates a potential cycle floor between $75,000 and $80,000, while other strategists warn that further downside toward the mid-$60,000 or even $60,000 area remains possible amid hawkish Federal Reserve policy and geopolitical tensions.

Bitcoin slid about 7% on Saturday to around $77,000, with more than $2 billion wiped from the crypto market. It later hovered near $78,690 at publication, according to CoinMarketCap. Analysts are split: some see a bottom between $75,000 and $80,000, while others caution potential declines toward $60,000–$65,000 in 2026.

Zcash (ZEC) extended a four-day slide to a 13% weekly drop, trading at $322 with a 24-hour decline of 3.25% as volume fell 12% to $450 million. Price action around $310 and derivatives positioning skewed to shorts highlight risk of a move toward $200 if that support gives way.

In the final stretch of January, Bitcoin briefly fell under $80,000 as analysts highlighted roughly $1.3 billion in liquidations within 12 hours. Market expert Burak Kesmeci views $80,000 as both a key technical support and the approximate cost basis for spot Bitcoin ETFs, with January 2026 net outflows already at $1.61 billion. He cautions that a confirmed weekly close below this level could extend downside toward $72,000, $68,000 and $62,000, while a rebound above $90,000 and $95,000, and eventually $100,000, would improve the bullish outlook.

On Saturday, XRP slid to just above $1.50, marking its weakest level since November 2024 before recovering to more than $1.60. While broader crypto market losses pressured the token, some analysts highlighted a bullish dragonfly doji on the XRP/BTC pair and a hold above the 33 EMA on the monthly chart. Others warned of a possible dead-cat bounce but also pointed to a historical pattern that once preceded gains of up to 1,600% after a similar structure in 2017.

Bitcoin traded near $78,000 after a 6–7% drop in the past 24 hours, with intraday lows around $76,000–$77,000. Gold and silver also retreated, and over $1 billion in crypto leverage was liquidated. Key areas to watch are $86,000 on the upside and $75,800 to $71,600 below.

On 31 January, Monero rose to $500.87, up 8.72% from the day's open, before broader selling in Bitcoin pushed XMR back toward $450 support. The analysis noted market sentiment was fearful with a Fear and Greed reading of 18, while BTC neared its $74k weekly swing low. Liquidity clusters sit at $400–$415 and $500, suggesting traders may wait for a sweep.

XRP fell 9% in 2026 and touched $1.60, its first nine‑month low, after breaking the $1.80 support. According to Alphractal, a 0.998 correlation to Bitcoin and an 87% altcoin‑BTC linkage keep price action tethered to BTC swings. Despite SoSoValue's noted ETF inflows and RWA TVL rising 11% to $235 million, gains remain muted.

Solana’s SOL token dropped to $100.30, its lowest level since April 2025, after a 30-day drawdown that aligned with broader altcoin weakness and macro risk-off moves in tech, AI and commodities. At the same time, Solana’s onchain activity and fee revenue have sharply outperformed rival networks, suggesting a widening gap between fundamentals and price. Derivatives data, ETF outflows and pressure on public firms holding SOL show traders have reduced leverage, leaving the token’s recovery dependent on an improvement in global economic and geopolitical sentiment.

Bitcoin fell under key price levels in a move driven by forced unwinds of leveraged long positions rather than retail capitulation. The drop turned former supports into targets, with altcoins reacting more sharply and market structure described as reset, setting up a pivotal test of whether support can hold or fail next.