XRP has traded with a bearish tone in December, slipping towards the $1.80 area as multiple support zones failed under selling pressure. Market analyst CryptoOnchain notes that XRP's weekly chart now shows a bearish divergence between price and the Relative Strength Index, hinting at weakening momentum. At the same time, Binance open interest in XRP derivatives has dropped to about $450 million, its lowest level since November 2024, while the token changes hands around $1.87 after a 1.5% daily gain.

Bitcoin is trading around $87,810, more than 30% below its roughly $126,000 peak from early October 2025, when a sharp downturn began after the October 10 market drop. On-chain data from CryptoQuant, highlighted by analyst Axel Adler Jr. on December 27, shows BTC has gone 1,079 days without strong selling pressure, approaching the prior record of about 1,125 days. This extended period of limited distribution suggests structural resilience, although it does not guarantee further price gains.

In the fourth quarter of 2025, Bitcoin has been underperforming while short-term holders have reportedly endured 60 straight days of deeply negative STH MVRV values. This on-chain pattern, highlighted by market quant Burak Kesmeci, coincides with BTC trading below its 111-day simple moving average and signals an extended stress phase for reactive investors. With Bitcoin hovering around $87,380 and little daily price movement, the market appears caught between potential capitulation-driven selling and a possible stabilization phase.

Bitcoin has been capped below the $90,000 psychological zone during the Christmas period, while other asset classes logged stronger festive rallies. On-chain analyst Joao Wedson, founder and CEO of Alphractal, projects via a Repetition Fractal Cycle chart that BTC could carve out its next bear-market bottom around early October 2026 in the $41,500–$45,000 range. This scenario implies a potential drawdown of roughly 50% from the current price of about $87,550 and around a 65% correction from the cycle peak, though he stresses it is a probabilistic fractal pattern rather than a fixed forecast.

US spot Ethereum ETFs registered more than $600 million in net outflows over the past week. BlackRock iShares Ethereum Trust ETHA saw about $470 million withdrawn, while Fidelity FETH and Grayscale ETHE posted roughly $35 million and $49 million. ETH traded near 2,975 dollars with little change over the last day.

On December 20, quant trader CryptoOnchain outlined a bearish Bitcoin setup on X, citing price stalling near the Point of Control and RSI divergence. The analyst said a drop toward $70,000–$73,000 is likely, with potential reversal signals around $72,000. Bitcoin trades near $88,330, and holding that zone could be crucial to avoid deeper correction.

Following a broad crypto market crash in early October, Bitcoin has continued to decline, breaking several support levels and trading around $88,260 with little daily movement. On-chain analyst Maartunn reports that the Coinbase Premium Gap has fallen to -$57, indicating that US-based traders are selling more aggressively than offshore markets. Historically, extended negative readings have sometimes preceded market bottoms, but a deeper decline without new demand could keep Bitcoin under pressure unless the premium turns back toward neutral or positive territory.

CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA links XRP weakness in 2025 to rising exchange inflows from 100K–1M and 1M+ whale bands. Despite the mid‑November launch of US spot XRP ETFs, SoSoValue reports over $1.14 billion in assets and no negative outflow days, yet price hovers near $1.90 with risk toward $1.50–$1.60.

XRP has trended lower through the second half of 2025, retreating from an all‑time high near $3.65 and rebounding at the $2 mark after a pullback from around $2.20 this week. On December 12, Ali Martinez shared Glassnode heatmap insights on X, flagging $1.96 and $1.78 as support and $2.17 as resistance. XRP is around $2.01, down nearly 2% week over week, according to CoinGecko.