Bitcoin has rebounded to the low-$60,000 range after topping above $120,000 in the 2025 bull run, but a cycle-based chart argues the downturn may not be finished. Using prior peak-to-trough declines of 83.90% (post-2017) and 77.91% (post-2021), the analysis shows a comparable 78.92% drop could imply a low below $30,000, while an institution-adjusted scenario favors $52,000.

Bitcoin has fallen more than 22% over the past month and remains below a descending trendline, keeping the 4-hour structure biased toward sellers. If price reclaims the $66,948 confirmation area and then breaks the trendline near $71,495, the next resistance levels highlighted are $75,952 and $79,453. The projection also points to a supply zone from about $77,000 to just above $82,000, with a potential retest of the May high area around $82,000.

In December 2025, Ripple received conditional approval from the OCC for a national bank charter tied to plans for Ripple National Trust Bank and RLUSD reserve custody. Some XRP community commentators argue this step, plus Ripple's reported holdings and XRPL infrastructure efforts, could support a $25 XRP scenario, though the implied valuation figures are far larger than prior estimates cited.

Bank of America reduced exposure to Ethereum- and Solana-linked products in the first quarter while increasing allocations tied to Bitcoin, based on its latest 13F disclosure. The filing shows a sharp buildup in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) position to roughly $37 million, alongside additional Bitcoin-related holdings via other ETFs and MicroStrategy shares.

A TradingView-based technical view says Bitcoin remains capped by an upper trendline that has repeatedly rejected rebound attempts, keeping bullish momentum muted. The same resistance aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, and analysts say continued failure to break higher could reopen the risk of a move below $60,000.

Intesa Sanpaolo, which manages about $1.1 trillion in assets, disclosed an XRP-linked position held through the Grayscale XRP Trust as part of a broader crypto expansion. As of March 31, the bank reported 712,319 trust shares worth roughly $18 million, while its total crypto-related holdings rose from about $100 million in Q4 2025 to nearly $235 million by the end of March 2026.

Bitcoin's weekly chart is being read as entering a redistribution zone after earlier distribution and range phases. The same three-stage structure appeared after the 2021 peak and preceded a steep decline, while BTC was cited at $79,800 at the time of writing. The analysis argues a repeat of a 78% drop from current levels would imply prices below $25,000, though it says any move is not guaranteed.

Ripple is highlighting expanded access to traditional banking rails after a 2025 deal tied to a SWIFT-certified treasury management platform that processes about $13 trillion in annual payment flows. The setup lets institutions route settlements either through SWIFT rails or via blockchain using XRP or RLUSD, but any XRP price impact depends on real adoption in transaction activity.

An analyst argues that Bitcoin printing six consecutive red monthly candles since October 2025 is not necessarily bearish and could be closer to a turning point than many expect. They compare the setup to August 2018–January 2019, when BTC fell from about $7,700 to around $3,500 before rallying to nearly $10,500 by May 2019 and pushing $13,000 in June. Using that template, the analyst outlines scenarios ranging from a 2x rebound from the $67,000 area to a 3x–4x move that would imply $180,000–$250,000.