FedWatch Lifts January Rate Cut Odds to 17.7% as Futures Reprice Policy Path

CME FedWatch data indicate that ahead of the Federal Reserve's January meeting, markets assign a 17.7% chance of a rate cut to the 325–350 basis point range and an 82.3% likelihood of rates staying at 350–375 basis points. Futures pricing shows no expectation of a hike, reflecting cautious repositioning rather than a clear policy signal. Crypto assets, including Bitcoin and Ether, traded slightly higher but reacted only modestly to the shift in implied probabilities.