1j yang lalu
John D'Agostino: Regulation and Deeper Liquidity Have Strengthened Bitcoin's Market Footing
John D'Agostino, an executive at Coinbase and former Vice President and Head of Strategy at the New York Mercantile Exchange, says Bitcoin may be on stronger structural ground today than it was at its prior all-time highs, even after the drawdown.
In his view, the market has improved on several fronts: a markedly better regulatory backdrop, deeper liquidity, upgraded trading systems and infrastructure, and a larger base of institutional participants. He argues these changes are reshaping Bitcoin's role in the broader financial ecosystem and supporting more durable market conditions.
D'Agostino also emphasized the central role exchanges play in capital markets. He described exchanges as the hub of market flow and price discovery, noting that without them, market infrastructure and liquidity formation would falter.
On price discovery, he said quality can be evaluated through transaction frequency, volume, and transparency: more trades and clearer visibility generally support more reliable pricing. He added that price discovery is never purely quantitative, calling it "as much art as it is science," shaped by human behavior as well as models.
He contrasted today's crypto markets with earlier practices in commodity derivatives, where final prices were often set after the close by committees selecting a handful of trades, building an options curve, and applying simple linear interpolation.
By comparison, 24/7 trading in Bitcoin enables continuous, real-time price discovery tied to actual liquidity rather than a single closing print or a consensus set by a small, vested group.
Addressing manipulation concerns, D'Agostino argued that large buy or sell orders from major participants do not automatically imply wrongdoing in a free market. He said Bitcoin's current size and liquidity make it difficult for any single firm, market maker, or participant to consistently control prices.
He also pushed back on recurring claims that sophisticated firms such as Jane Street manipulate the market, calling the idea that they would repeatedly move prices by placing large orders at the same time each day "laughable."