Bitcoin recently climbed from a base above $66,500 and briefly pushed past $68,800 before sellers capped the move around $70,100. The price is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average, with a contracting triangle resistance near $68,400 suggesting a possible attempt to reclaim $69,550 and $70,000. If BTC drops below $67,400 and $66,550, it could revisit supports at $65,000 and $63,000.

At the Bitcoin Investor Week Conference in New York in February, former Trump crypto advisor David Bailey argued that the U.S. government must go further than simply supporting Bitcoin in words. He highlighted that, despite Trump signing an executive order for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025 and the U.S. holding 378,372 BTC worth about $22.48 billion, meaningful policy action has lagged. Bailey added that Bitcoin will ultimately succeed with or without U.S. help, but real progress requires political capital and broader voter ownership of BTC.

Bitcoin is trading with elevated volatility around the $66,000–$66,800 zone as geopolitical tensions weigh on global risk sentiment. On-chain data indicates roughly 13,500 BTC have flowed out of Binance since February 21, pointing to possible large-holder accumulation while price remains capped below $69,000. Exchange-wide outflows have stayed negative for several days, even as BTC consolidates between resistance at $68,000–$69,000 and support in the $63,000–$64,000 range.

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio told the All-In Podcast on Tuesday that Bitcoin should not be relied on as a long-term store of value or safe-haven, stressing that central banks overwhelmingly favor gold. He questioned Bitcoin's privacy, its vulnerability to future quantum computing, and its correlation with tech stocks, while reiterating gold's role as the most established form of money in times of geopolitical and economic stress.

As conflict spreads across the Middle East and oil prices rise, Bitcoin is still trading above $66,000 while Asian equities come under pressure. On February 28, 2026, the price briefly fell to around $63,000 before recovering, and on-chain data shows limited selling from short-term holders even as the macro backdrop worsens.

Bitcoin is consolidating near $68,000 as open-interest-weighted funding rates edge back into slightly negative territory, indicating a more cautious stance in derivatives markets. BTC recently traded around $68,290 after touching highs above $69,000 and lows near $66,138, while the daily RSI has recovered from February’s oversold readings but remains below the neutral 50 level.

In a March 2 thesis, Joe Burnett, VP of Bitcoin Strategy at Strive (Nasdaq: ASST), argues that bitcoin could climb to $11 million by the first quarter of 2036 as artificial intelligence drives structural deflation while policymakers keep expanding liquidity. He projects a bitcoin network value of about $230 trillion by 2036, or roughly 12% of an estimated $1.97 quadrillion global financial asset base, with scarcity, monetary debasement and AI-led productivity gains channeling capital into BTC as a long-duration savings asset.

On Tuesday, Africa Bitcoin Corporation executive chairman Stafford Masie told the Coin Stories podcast that in some African circular economies, locals treat Bitcoin as everyday money and prefer satoshis over U.S. dollars amid rapid currency debasement. He contrasted 4%–5% annual inflation in Western markets with similar levels occurring within an afternoon in parts of Africa and likened the shift to the continent's leap from legacy systems to mobile technology and digital assets.