Technical Analysis

Three major altcoins show pronounced technical weakness as selling pressure intensifies. XRP's 50-day moving average nears a bearish crossover below its 200-day moving average, potentially forming a death cross within days. Ethereum trades near $3,600 after breaking below its 200-day moving average, while Cardano's RSI has dropped to 31, indicating extreme oversold conditions with all major exponential moving averages aligned in a death cross pattern.

Veteran crypto analyst Trader Mayne maintains his bull cycle thesis remains intact following a billion-dollar liquidation event. He expects Bitcoin to establish a weekly cycle low by mid-November that could enable another rally into year-end. Despite recent volatility, Mayne continues holding a core spot position and focuses primarily on major cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin fell to $98,900 during intraday trading before recovering above $101,000, data show. The cryptocurrency broke below its $107,000 support level after trading in a range between that floor and $123,000 for approximately 130 days. The decline triggered roughly $640 million in long position liquidations across futures markets within 24 hours.

Digital asset markets recorded approximately $500 million in capital outflows this week as Bitcoin fell below $100,000 and the TOTAL2 index declined 9%. While bearish momentum dominated, targeted inflows into Zcash and Solana ETFs indicate investors are reallocating rather than exiting entirely. Derivatives markets saw nearly $4 billion in losses since early November, with 77% attributed to long position liquidations.

Large Ethereum holders purchased 394,682 ETH worth approximately $1.37 billion over three days, data show. The buying activity occurred as ETH consolidated near $3,380 after finding support at its 200-day moving average following Tuesday's decline below $3,100.

Dogecoin is trading near the critical $0.15 support level following a 12.9% weekly decline. Despite current market weakness, multiple analysts predict a significant rebound with price targets reaching $0.48 by early next year, contingent on key technical levels holding. The token faces intensified selling pressure amid elevated long position liquidations and declining futures open interest.

Bitcoin traded above $103,000 with a 1% gain in 24 hours after the week's decline. Technical analysts warn that sustained weekly closes below the 50-week moving average at $102,000 have historically preceded market tops. Year-to-date performance shows gold and the S&P 500 now outpace Bitcoin returns despite favorable conditions including rate cuts and regulatory developments.

ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood lowered the firm's long-term bitcoin price projection by approximately $300,000, attributing the adjustment to stablecoins' expanding adoption in emerging markets. Wood noted that stablecoins now fulfill payment and savings functions previously expected for bitcoin, directly impacting ARK's bullish scenario modeling. The revision references ARK's earlier forecasts, though the firm had raised its 2030 bull-case target to $2.4 million in April.

Bitcoin has dropped below $104,000 and the 100-hour simple moving average, failing to hold above $105,000. The cryptocurrency declined to $98,900 before attempting a modest recovery. Bears remain active near $104,000, limiting upward momentum as the asset trades below key technical levels.

Galaxy Digital cut its Bitcoin year-end 2025 price target from $185,000 to $120,000, according to the firm's head of research Alex Thorn. The revision reflects increased leveraged liquidations and whale distributions exceeding 400,000 BTC. Japan's Metaplanet drew $100 million from its Bitcoin-backed credit facility to expand holdings, while Swiss custody startup Future raised $34.5 million in funding.