Trading

Altcoin Season in Sight? Crypto analysts observe capitulation signals, strong support levels, and opportunities, but liquidity, unlocks, and dominance remain risks.

As 2025 nears its end, Bitcoin is trading below a long-standing bull market channel after six weeks of failed attempts to reclaim it and is now consolidating under key resistance. Analysts are split between scenarios that include a possible move down toward $60,000 or a renewed push toward the $100,000–$105,000 area, while spot price hovers near $87,100 amid a weak fourth quarter.

Axel Adler Jr. reports the composite sentiment index fell to 40%, flagging risk-off conditions as Bitcoin trades near $87,400 under all short-term holder realized price bands. Nearby hurdles sit at $90,300 and then a cluster at $100,400–$101,800, while the broader realized price support stands at $56,300.

In the past day, traders have added new Bitcoin positions in the perpetual futures market, and the Funding Rate indicates these are largely leveraged long bets. On-chain data shows Open Interest climbed from 304,000 BTC to 310,000 BTC alongside a price recovery toward $90,000, while the Funding Rate increased from 0.04% to 0.09%. Bitcoin has since eased slightly from its latest high, with the spot price pulling back to $89,500.

Aave’s native token continued to slide despite steady buying from founder Stani Kulechov, highlighting weak market confidence as governance and revenue concerns overshadow insider accumulation. On-chain data shows Kulechov added more than $12 million worth of AAVE over the past week, but the token remains under pressure as investors await clarity on DAO control and long-term value capture.

According to on-chain data, Bitcoin has entered its most intense selling phase in three years, even as the holder retention rate has been rising. Analysts noted that this wave of market sell orders usually precedes a bottom and a consolidation period, but current buy/sell index readings still signal a risky environment for buyers. Recent metrics suggest that any price rebound could serve more as an opportunity to exit long positions than the start of a sustained recovery.

XRP made brief early‑week gains but failed to clear $1.95 and subsequently slid below $1.90, extending a drawdown of nearly 50% from its July peak. Santiment said on December 22, 2025 that social commentary had turned sharply negative, a setup it links to past rebounds, while SoSoValue reported $43.89 million of net inflows into five spot XRP ETFs on Monday.

Bitcoin is on track to finish Q4 2025 with a loss of almost 22%, its softest fourth-quarter performance since the 2018 downturn. The price has hovered between $85,000 and $90,000 in recent days, as on-chain indicators and macro headwinds highlight fading speculative demand and a cautious market tone.

According to a YouTube chart breakdown, Bitcoin Cash is testing a four‑year range from the August 2021 high, with a short‑term barrier near $627.60 and the 38.2% retracement around $677. If the range breaks, mapped Fibonacci projections point to roughly $851 and $960, contingent on Bitcoin advancing toward $90,000 and dominance easing from 59.56%.

Dogecoin fell 57% over the past three months before revisiting the key $0.13 support zone, where it has historically rebounded multiple times. The memecoin was recently trading near $0.134 with a 1.65% daily gain, an 85% jump in volume to $885 million, and an ADX reading of 26.28 signaling strong directional momentum. Derivatives data show leveraged long positions of $16.11 million versus $7.23 million in shorts, suggesting a bullish bias while the $0.1273–$0.1345 band acts as a key liquidation area.