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Bitcoin Tests $100,000 After 10% Weekly Decline as Macro Factors Challenge Cycle Peak Thesis
Bitcoin dropped 10% over the past week to retest $100,000, recording its weakest 30-day performance against the Nasdaq since July 2024. Despite bearish sentiment following October's $20 billion deleveraging event, easing monetary policy, potential 401(k) crypto access, and increased bank participation suggest the decline represents consolidation rather than a cycle peak, according to K33 Research.
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Bitcoin Dips Below $100,000 Amid Sentiment-Driven Correction, Network Fundamentals Intact
Bitcoin fell below $100,000 this week, pushing the Fear & Greed Index to 21 and erasing bullish forecasts in the $150,000–$200,000 range. Despite the sharp drop in investor confidence, on-chain data shows network fundamentals remain solid. Exchange withdrawals have increased, hash rate holds near 1.1 ZH/s, and $10.7 billion in stablecoins flowed into Binance, indicating the decline reflects sentiment rather than structural weakness.
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Bitcoin consolidation reflects institutional allocation shift from 1% to 5%, Bitwise CIO says
Bitcoin's sideways price action in 2025 represents a transition phase resembling a "silent IPO," with early holders selling to institutional buyers, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan. He characterized this consolidation as a healthy maturation process that positions bitcoin for larger portfolio allocations as volatility declines and mainstream adoption expands.
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Bitcoin tests $80,000 support as bear-cycle indicator triggers below 50-week moving average
Bitcoin is testing the 50-week moving average as prices fall below $110,000, a technical level that has historically preceded deeper corrections. The cryptocurrency has formed lower highs since reaching nearly $120,000 earlier this year, mirroring the pattern observed before the 2022 downturn. Analyst TradingShot notes the setup suggests Bitcoin may be entering a fresh bear cycle, with potential support near $80,000 if the key moving average fails to hold.
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MicroStrategy's Convertible Debt Structure Protects $64 Billion Bitcoin Treasury From Forced Liquidation
MicroStrategy's 641,205 BTC holdings are shielded from forced sales through convertible debt instruments that allow settlement via stock issuance or cash, according to Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo. The company's $1.01 billion debt maturing in September 2027 would only trigger liquidation risk if its stock falls below $183.19, equivalent to Bitcoin at $91,500. Despite Bitcoin's recent 10% weekly decline to $101,377, the firm maintains the largest corporate Bitcoin position globally.
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