Markets open the week with macro risk in focus as March 30 brings a scheduled Powell appearance and fresh attention on the Iran conflict alongside rising energy prices. In crypto, key dates include EthCC[9] running March 30–April 2, FTX’s fourth distribution starting March 31 for about $2.2 billion, and Based launching its token on March 30 with BASED/USDT trading set for 10:00 UTC.

WTI crude climbed to $105 on Monday, its highest level in nearly four years, reviving concerns that Bitcoin could face another sharp pullback. In three prior episodes when WTI moved above $105 (June 12, 2014; March 1, 2022; May 4, 2022), BTC later fell 14%–27% within days or weeks. The pattern is limited to a small sample, and other shocks previously coincided with deeper crypto downturns.

Bitcoin and ether exchange-traded funds logged a combined $503 million in weekly net outflows during the last full trading week of March. Bitcoin spot ETFs lost $296.18 million and ether ETFs shed $206.58 million, while Solana ETFs saw $4.2 million leave and XRP ETFs took in $2.66 million. The period included a brief early-week bounce, but withdrawals intensified into Friday.

At the Monday US market open, Bitcoin and major altcoins moved lower as traders weighed oil prices, US employment data and uncertainty around the US and Israel-Iran war. The analysis highlights key technical levels, including BTC facing potential selling near $69,000 and a possible move toward the $74,508 area if buyers reclaim momentum.

Starting March 30, 2026, BNP Paribas will let retail clients in France access six Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs) linked to Bitcoin and Ether through ordinary brokerage accounts. The products provide price exposure without direct token ownership, while carrying issuer counterparty risk and operating under MiFID II rules. The rollout highlights a widening gap with Italy, where Consob still restricts retail distribution of crypto ETPs.

A Coinbase and Cointracker report dated March 30, 2026 says many U.S. crypto investors understand taxes apply but still struggle with cost basis and accurate reporting. The survey of 3,000 users found 74% know crypto activity is taxable, while Form 1099-DA for the 2025 tax year may increase mistakes when gross proceeds are reported without cost basis.

Institutional investors sold a combined $414 million worth of Bitcoin and other digital-asset products over one week, according to CoinShares. The report describes it as the first weekly selloff in five weeks, with the US posting $445 million in outflows while Germany and Canada saw $21.2 million and $15.9 million in inflows.

Strive (ASST) and Tuttle Capital Management filed with the SEC on Monday for the T-Strive Digital Credit ETF, a proposed fund focused on preferred shares issued by bitcoin treasury companies. The prospectus says it would target income exposure to Strategy's STRC and Strive's SATA using swaps and leverage, while not holding bitcoin directly. STRC is described as paying 11.5% in monthly dividends, and Strive said it lifted SATA's monthly dividend to 12.75% earlier this month.