Analyst Projects Bitcoin Market Bottom Near $37,500 in Q4 2026 After 70% Drawdown

On December 22, 2025, analyst Ali Martinez shared a Bitcoin outlook indicating the price could slide to around $37,500 by the final quarter of 2026, marking a potential cycle low. His view is based on historical drawdowns of roughly 70% to 84% from prior peaks, implying the current rally toward $90,000 may give way to a deeper correction. He also argued that such a decline would likely set up a new accumulation phase rather than signal the end of Bitcoin's long-term uptrend.