Gold pulls back after July PCE holds at 3.7% and October Fed hike odds rise to 54.7%
U.S. July PCE inflation held at 3.7% versus 3.6% expected, lifting implied odds of an October Fed hike to 54.7%. Treasury yields rose (2Y above 4.22%, 10Y above 4.66%) and the dollar strengthened, tightening financial conditions. Non-yielding precious metals sold off: gold failed at the $4630–$4650 resistance zone and slipped toward $4600, dragging silver and platinum lower.
AI Insight · NCCOGOLD2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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The U.S. PCE Price Index held steady at 3.7% year over year in July, above the 3.6% consensus forecast. After the release, expectations for further Fed tightening firmed, with the implied probability of an October rate hike rising to 54.7%. U.S. Treasury yields climbed, with the 2-year moving above 4.22% and the 10-year holding above 4.66%. Gold failed to break $4630–$4650 and slipped back toward $4600, while silver came under pressure as it tested support near $68.00.