CFTC unveils June 10, 2026 draft rule to define which prediction contracts are allowed

On June 10, 2026, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission released its first proposed framework for prediction markets, outlining how it would judge whether event contracts serve the public interest or violate federal law. The draft uses a three-step review and a flexible balancing test, and would open a 45-day public comment period after finalization, taking effect 60 days after adoption.