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Jamie Redman

Polymarket and Kalshi World Cup Winner Markets Top $2B as Spain, France Lead

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have put more than $2 billion into 2026 FIFA World Cup winner contracts, with Spain and France listed as the top contenders. As of 3:30 p.m. EDT on June 10, 2026, Spain was priced at 16.5% on Polymarket and 17.4% on Kalshi, while France hovered near 16.1%. Opening-match markets also show Mexico as the largest single-game favorite at 70% with $1.86 million in volume.
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