On January 14, Bitcoin briefly climbed above $97,000, its highest level since November, prompting renewed debate over whether its long-observed four-year pattern is changing. Analyst Egrag Crypto assigns a 55%–65% probability that 2026 will close green if BTC can secure monthly closes above $105,000 while holding support near $90,000. Other chart watchers highlight this deviation from past cycles as BTC dominance rises and short-term holders take profits into strength.

Bitcoin is consolidating just under the $95,000 resistance zone after rebounding from its December lows, with the daily chart showing a clear pattern of higher lows. Technical structure now places BTC between a potential breakout toward the $100,000 area and a possible pullback toward support around $90,000, while on-chain data shows the share of supply in profit recovering from a deep reset.

Since January 16 (Friday), Bitcoin slipped into tight consolidation after failing to extend earlier strength. In a January 17 X post, XWIN Finance said the Kimchi Premium has flashed a long signal again, a pattern that preceded a 370% advance in 2023. BTC sits near $95,280 with little 24-hour change.

Bitcoin rose about 20% since November 21, 2025, after a 19% drop pushed it below the 365‑day moving average near $101,000. Demand has improved but remains weak, with spot demand contracting by 67,000 BTC over 30 days and U.S. ETFs showing no sustained accumulation. Exchange inflows have climbed to a seven‑day average of 39,000 BTC, which may increase selling pressure.

US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted about $1.42 billion in inflows over the latest week, marking the strongest weekly increase since early October and briefly lifting Bitcoin prices. Midweek activity concentrated the surge, with one day drawing more than $840 million and another roughly $754 million, while BlackRock's IBIT reportedly contributed around $1.03 billion to the total. Analysts note that these bursts of institutional demand via regulated funds have recently produced short-lived price bounces rather than lasting trend changes.

A Satoshi-era wallet tagged by Arkham as "5K BTC OG" began selling on Dec. 4, 2024, according to Lookonchain and Arkham. It has offloaded 2,500 BTC for about $265 million at an average exit price of $106,164, and later moved 500 BTC to Binance valued at $47.77 million. The address still holds 2,500 BTC worth $237.5 million.

President Donald Trump announced tariffs on eight European countries that begin at 10% on February 1 and escalate to 25% by June, conditioning removal on Denmark selling Greenland. Bitcoin trades near $95,000 after weeks in a $94,000–$97,000 range, with anxiety rekindled by October 2025’s $19 billion liquidation precedent.

In a 2026 market outlook, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood said Bitcoin's unusually low correlation with traditional assets makes it a strategic diversifier for institutions. Ark cited a 0.28 correlation to the S&P 500, while Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood shifted his long‑standing 10% Bitcoin allocation to gold on Friday over quantum‑computing concerns.