On December 11, 2025, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued staff no-action letters to Polymarket US, LedgerX, PredictIt, and Gemini Titan. The relief is conditional, requiring full collateralization of all contracts and publication of time-and-sales data to limit enforcement risk.

Coinbase plans to unveil a prediction market and an in-house tokenized equities product at a Dec. 17 showcase. The sector has seen rapid growth, with Kalshi and Polymarket's combined monthly volume hitting $7.7 billion in November, and Gemini and Crypto.com outlining new initiatives. Coinbase shares closed down 2.2% at $269.02 on Thursday.

On a Tuesday in late 2025, Poland's government re-approved the same crypto-asset regulation bill that President Karol Nawrocki vetoed, intensifying an institutional clash over how to implement MiCA-style rules. Prime Minister Donald Tusk and key ministers argue the law is needed to counter security threats, while critics warn its strict licensing, KNF powers and penalties could damage a market serving around three million users and exceed EU requirements. The deadlock leaves Poland as the only EU state without national MiCA-aligned crypto rules ahead of the July 1, 2026 compliance date.

Arthur Hayes Sees Ethereum Price at $20,000 by Next US Election: Stablecoins, Layer-2, Whales, and Treasuries in Focus.

On Friday, Dec. 12, around 39,000 BTC options worth about $3.6 billion expire, alongside 247,000 ETH contracts totaling $768 million, for roughly $4.3 billion in notional. BTC's put/call stands near 1.1 with max pain around $90,000, while ETH's is 1.24 with max pain at $3,100; spot prices remain range-bound.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued no‑action letters to Polymarket, PredictIt, Gemini and LedgerX, easing certain swap‑related recordkeeping and reporting duties under narrow conditions. Platforms must fully collateralize contracts, clear through designated processes, and publish executed contract data. The guidance does not constitute blanket approval and targets prediction markets structured as derivatives.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has granted the Depository Trust Company, a subsidiary of DTCC, a no-action letter to pilot tokenization of traditional securities on selected blockchains from the second half of 2026 for three years. The program will cover US Treasuries, major index-tracking ETFs and Russell 1000 components, with tokenized assets retaining the same rights and protections as their conventional versions and being offered to DTC participants and their clients.

Coinbase is preparing to introduce prediction markets and its own line of tokenized U.S. equities, with a formal unveiling scheduled for December 17. The exchange plans to issue these tokenized stocks directly rather than via partners, expanding its roadmap as on‑chain stock trading and event‑based markets gain traction.